蔡少琪:The Great Stagnation:若西方已進入了大停滯時代,中國會是那時呢?(上載日期:201139)

 

時代議題和基督信仰的反思

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信仰與時代

 

泰勒•考恩(Tyler Cowen)的短篇電子書《大停滯》(The Great Stagnation)談到美國已經失去容易增長的時代。他形容早期美國有很多“長在低處的果實” low-hanging fruit因此,美國很容易就能有高增長。但這些時代已經過去了。

http://www.chinesetheology.com/World/GreatStagnation.htm

“The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All The Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better.”

“In a figurative sense, the American economy has enjoyed lots of low-hanging fruit since at least the seventeenth century: free land; immigrant labor; and powerful new technologies. Yet during the last forty years, that low-hanging fruit started disappearing and we started pretending it was still there. We have failed to recognize that we are at a technological plateau and the trees are barer than we would like to think. That’s it. That is what has gone wrong. The problem won’t be solved overnight, but there are reasons to be optimistic. We simply have to recognize the underlying causes of our past prosperity—low hanging fruit—and how we will come upon more of it.”

這本書被形容為可能是今年其中一本最有影響力的書籍:It’s possible the most important non-fiction book this year won’t be published on paper.

這個題目與貧富懸殊,東西方的未來發展張力,中國能否持續有急速發展,科技的影響和失去的中產階級等問題有關。

值得我們多想。

人不是有高速增長才能喜樂。我想,學習知足也是現代的一個重要的屬靈功課。

4:11我並不是因缺乏說這話;我無論在甚麼景況都可以知足,這是我已經學會了。

提前6:6然而,敬虔加上知足的心便是大利了;

提前6:8只要有衣有食,就當知足。

 

主內

蔡少琪

http://www.economist.com/node/18276872

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2011/01/31/the-great-stagnation-low-hanging-fruit-and-americas-sputnik-moment/

http://www.ftchinese.com/story/001036948

http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2011/01/growth_2 http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2011/01/31/the-great-stagnation-low-hanging-fruit-and-americas-sputnik-moment/tab/print/ http://blogs.forbes.com/nickschulz/2011/01/31/beyond-the-great-stagnation/